The Italian Ministry of Defense is considering a large-scale modernization program for the national armed forces, which includes increasing the size of the military contingent by 60%. According to confidential documents reviewed by Reuters on February 19, 2026, the total size of the army, navy, and air force could reach 275,000 personnel.
Source: Bukvy
This step is aimed at meeting new NATO requirements. Last year, NATO countries, under pressure from U.S. President Donald Trump, set a new target level for defense spending — 5% of GDP. For Italy, which traditionally spent around 2%, this entails significant changes in budgetary policy.
The proposal from military experts, submitted to Defense Minister Guido Crosetto, envisages a phased increase in personnel until 2044. The plan also includes the creation of a 15,000-strong operational reserve. The cost of personnel expansion alone is estimated at €6 billion, while total personnel maintenance costs until the completion of the reform could reach €15 billion annually.
Minister Crosetto, an ally of Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni, confirmed the intention to reach the 5% of GDP target by 2035. However, implementation of the plan in parliament is expected to be difficult: the opposition and civic activists have expressed concerns, emphasizing that with high national debt, investments in healthcare and education should remain a priority, rather than expanding military capabilities.
The final draft of the defense strategy is planned to be presented by the government at the end of March.
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